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Nvidia's Earnings Report and Stock Volatility

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Nvidia investors are on tenterhooks as they await the company's earnings report. The stock is expected to see volatile moves, with traders pricing in an 8% swing or a $300 billion gain or loss in market value. The total market cap of the stock is currently at $3.5 trillion around 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday.

Preparing for Q3 Earnings

The chipmaker, scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell, was down 1.8% on Tuesday morning. Investors are anticipating a revenue of $33 billion for the third quarter, an 83% increase from the same period last year. All eyes will be on the firm's guidance for Blackwell, its next-generation AI chip, as Wall Street seeks clues about the strength of demand for its next-gen GPU.

In October, Huang described the demand for Blackwell as “insane.” Wedbush Securities strategists believe Nvidia could beat its earnings revenue by $2 billion and reach a $4 trillion valuation or higher in 2025. They emphasize that Blackwell represents the next frontier for Nvidia and the overall AI Revolution, and the street is underestimating the demand curve over the next 12 to 18 months and beyond. The cloud numbers and AI data points from Redmond, Amazon, and Google during earnings season last month indicate massive enterprise AI demand is underway.

Louis Navellier, the chief investment officer of Navellier & Associates, added that starting in the fourth quarter, Nvidia's new Blackwell GB200 GPU will dominate its sales for the next couple of years. Since Nvidia spent approximately $2 billion developing the Blackwell GPU, it has no competitors, and as it develops more powerful GPU successors, he doesn't expect any competitor to “crack” Nvidia's monopoly on generative AI.

Concerns and Market Sentiment

Some forecasters are worried that Nvidia's stock could drop even if the company beats earnings due to investors' sky-high expectations. This was seen after the last quarterly report when Nvidia shares saw a brief sell-off despite strong overall results. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer of Bellwether Wealth, said that once again, Nvidia's stock is priced for perfection heading into earnings, as has been the case for most of the company's recent earnings reports. For investors who don't own Nvidia, it may be best to wait for a pullback instead of establishing a position when the stock is near record highs.

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