MongoDB (MDB) and Elastic (ESTC) stocks witnessed significant jumps in Thursday trading. This came after a strong earnings report from enterprise software peer Snowflake (SNOW). MongoDB stock is currently up more than 15% at 325.96, while Elastic is up more than 5% at 93.55. However, both stocks had a tough summer. MongoDB entered Thursday trading down 31% year to date, and Elastic was down 18% from the start of the year. Snowflake stock, on the other hand, was rallying more than 31%.
Evercore ISI Analyst's Perspective
Evercore ISI analyst Kirk Materne wrote in a client note that while the obvious bank shot from SNOW will be other consumption names like Datadog (DDOG) and MongoDB, some of the move in software is simply investors having to gross back up after overly punishing software this summer.This shows the impact of market sentiment and the influence of one company's earnings on others in the same sector. Database Giants and Their Performance
Database software giant Oracle (ORCL) is up 1.9% at 194.37, adding to a more than 80% surge this year. Confluent (CFLT), a data streaming company, is up 4.5% at 29.89 and has slightly outpaced the S&P 500 with a 28% gain. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV), which holds shares of more than 100 enterprise software players, is up 1% in Thursday trading. These stocks are likely being helped by strong quarterly results and positive market commentary from AI kingpin Nvidia (NVDA).Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives wrote that Nvidia's results show the tech industry is "just starting the next stage of the AI Revolution being led by Nvidia with Blackwell driving massive growth in 2025 and beyond." This could be good news for software as Ives sees spending on Nvidia's Blackwell AI chips having a "multiplier effect" for the broader technology sector. 2024 Performance and Challenges
Both MongoDB and Elastic were popular picks on Wall Street to benefit from the next wave of enterprise AI spending. MongoDB saw its share price double in 2023, and Elastic had similar gains. But this year has been tricky. MongoDB stock sank 24% in late May after a disappointing sales forecast and is yet to recover. Elastic stock tumbled 28% following its most recent earnings report in late August, which included a weaker-than-expected sales forecast.MongoDB entered Thursday trading more than 40% off a 52-week high from February, while Elastic is 25% lower than a 52-week high also reached in February. This shows the volatility and challenges faced by these stocks in the current market environment. Earnings Tests Ahead
The gains today for Elastic stock will be quickly put to the test as the company reports fiscal second quarter earnings results after regular trading closes today. Analysts are looking for adjusted earnings to grow 3% year over year to 38 cents per share, while sales are expected to rise 14% to $354 million.MongoDB, meanwhile, will report earnings on Dec. 9. Analysts are projecting MongoDB's adjusted earnings will decline 30% to 67 cents per share while sales increase 15% to $497.6 million.MongoDB broke out last week above a 297.68 cup-with-handle buy point, according to MarketSurge pattern recognition. Shares retreated back below that level in recent days but surged back Thursday, with MDB stock overtaking its long-term 200-day moving average. This indicates the importance of technical analysis in the stock market and how it can influence stock movements.